Hey boo, I'm back with winners for days

Hey, guess who got back on the winning track last week, with a solid but unspectacular 3-2 record. It's a start. Picking games is an art, you have to spot trends, factor significant injuries and trust your gut. Cause going head to head with Vegas oddsmakers is rough business. There are in my experince 2 advantages that a gambler holds over Vegas. One is knowledge of your favorite team. You ever see a football line and say to yourself, 'There's no way my fav team loses/win by that much in a given game'? It's because you have spent so many years with your team, you just know how they're going to play in a given situation. Secondly, Vegas work within a given parameter. Meaning they will only make a spread so many points. 2 weeks ago, the Broncos were favored by 28 points over Jacksonville which was the highest spread ever for a favored team, even though almost weekly there are games in which a team wins by more than 28 points. Vegas has to set an amount in which there will be an equal amount of points wagered for and against the set line, and they get 10% of all losses, that's how they make their money. So they set lines within their wheel house. However, sometimes there are games that just blows up the Vegas algorithm and they can't set a spread high or low enough in their wheel house to cover it and guess what boo...

Denver/Washington over 58 points

58 points is a lot of points in the NFL, 2 years ago 51 points used to be the benchmark for a high scoring game but now the game has changed. Teams are scoring more because rule changes has made defenses softer. Back in the day 58 points for an over/under NFL spread was unheard of. Not anymore. Vegas knows there will be a lot of points scored but no one has ever seen a 65 point over/under spread (which is what it should be) why? Because everyone would take the under and Vegas has protect themselves. Remeber they need equal betting on both sides, so they set it at 58 which is a number that bettors will feel comfortable with. Let me also say this, the Broncos are averaging about 35 points a game. The Washington blah blahs gave up 41 points to the Bears back up QB. RG3 is close to healthy, they're gonna score against a mediocre Denver Bronco team. 70 points will be scored in this game, trust me on this one boo *if there is a snowstorm in Denver then clearly this regard this wager (that's called a footnote homie) 

Broncos 45 - Blah blahs 35

Seattle - 11 over St. Louis

Hey did you know that the Rams called Brett Favre to see if he wants to come out of retirement to play for them? Yep, they called an over 40 year old dude who hasn't played in over 2 years to come and play for them immediately. Here's the thing, they didn't even deny it. Most teams would say 'no we are happy with the team we have' to show support for their QB, but not the Rams. They're basically saying that we have a shit QB and we're in big trouble and who am I to disagree with head coach Jeff Fisher, I mean he's in practice with them everyday, not me. I'm just the messenger boo

Seahawks 33 Rams 6

New Orleans -11 over Buffalo

Look the Saints are on a mission. Don't let that lucky Tom Brady semi-hail mary, make you lose faith. The Saints almost beat the Pats in New England with a subpar game from Drew Brees and no catches from super stud TE Jimmy Graham. They have 2 weeks to prepare for Buffalo QB Thad Lewis. The Saints will march and boo, boo...? They at home boo, the Saints are a different level team at home boo.

Saints 33 Bills 17

Atlanta +2.5 over Arizona

This is the perfect scenario for Matty Ice. He thrives in low expectation environments. The Falcons are no longer considered an elite team. They lost Julio Jones, they lost Roddy White. No pressure Ice-man. No need for you to melt yet again, in a pressure situation. You're playing a mediocre, over the hill Carson Palmer led team. You're not even favored to win. Go get 'em Matty Ice. Go get 'em Iceman

Falcons 24 Cardinals 23

Pittsburgh- 2.5 over Oakland

Um, I'm not saying the modest 2 game winning streak mean that the Steelers are back to their old selves. I am saying that they are a desperate team, with a little momentum and Ben Rothlisberger AND they are playing a not so good Oakland team. So if you're saying that they only need to win by a field goal to cover this spread. I say take this game my friend and don't look back. shhhh boo, don't turn around, keep straight.

Steelers 24 Oakland 14

Minnesota +9.5 over Green Bay

It's a perfect storm for the Vikings. They have to go back to Christian Ponder. He's going to give them his best effort. The Packers are incredibly banged up and can't score a lot of points.The Vikings still have an Adrian Peterson who ran over the Pack last year at home, keeping my beloved Bears out of the playoffs. That being said they'll still lose but not by 10

Rodgers 23 Ponder 16

San Francisco 16.5 over Jacksonville

I shouldn't have to explain myself here boo. I just shouldn't

49ers 41 Jaguars 10